GM Eyed Hong Kong IPO Listing, SAIC Interested In Stake

The Truth About Cars, August 27, 2010

From a week deep in our “How The Hell Did We Miss That” file comes a Reuters report that shows GM considered floating its IPO on the Hong Kong Hang Seng index. GM’s interest in a Hong Kong float has obvious roots: the company is extremely well-positioned in China, where high savings rates and the prospect of steady local sales growth could have helped bring in both private investors and GM’s partner firms. But according to a Reuters source, GM rejected the idea because it would have delayed the IPO past its Thanksgiving deadline

I don’t think signaling goodwill toward Asia is likely to be a significant enough argument for all the cost and complexity. I don’t want to overstate the cost and complexity but it’s not insignificant

But another issue in GM’s decision had to be the possibility of political blowback: though a smaller IPO risks a smaller payback for American taxpayers’ investment in GM, if a Chinese firm ended up with a major stake in GM, opponents could well have charged that the bailout resulted in a giveaway to foreigners (as was the case with Fiat’s takeover of Chrysler). And the role of politics in GM’s IPO planning should not be underestimated. According to a Reuters source, GM’s listing on the Toronto stock exchange is of no real value to the IPO, but

It’s a big thank you to the Canadian government for their role in supporting GM… There’s no logic behind listing in Toronto other than the political factors — none

Meanwhile, the New York-Toronto listing might not prevent a major Chinese ownership stake in GM post-IPO. Hu Maoyuan, chairman of GM’s Chinese partner SAIC, tells the FT that his firm

will watch GM’s IPO closely, and think carefully if we should purchase the shares or not.

SAIC recently bought out the controlling stake in its GM Shanghai joint venture with GM, and took over GM’s Indian operations. This partnership makes SAIC the most logical foreign investor in GM, but once again politics may limit SAIC’s involvement in the offering. Bill Russo, head of the Synergistics auto consultancy in Beijing explains

It becomes an emotional issue that somehow the identity of GM would be transformed from a North American-centred to an Asian-centred company… But that is happening anyway – the global centre of gravity of the auto industry is shifting to Asia

Another anonymous investor adds

I am absolutely certain they would love to have a share . . . but they do not want to upset the US about this.

On the other hand, the early days of GM’s IPO could see some US government-spurred irrational exuberance, and when reality sinks in, SAIC could well end up buying a big GM stake off the open market. After all, once the government releases its shares, it loses its ability to pick nix possible buyers for political reasons. Though GM has anti-takeover rules in its new Delaware-based corporate structure, an acquisition by a partner like SAIC would be considered friendly. And, in many ways, common sense. Though GM’s IPO may not immediately lead to a Chinese ownership stake, greater Chinese ownership of the bailed-out firm seems extremely likely over the medium-to-long term.

Click here to view the original posting on thetruthaboutcars.com

China Automotive Trends Online Seminar

September 29, 2010

A GlobalAutoIndustry.com Online Seminar to assist you with doing business in or with China.

  • Online Seminar to be held on Wednesday September 29 at 10:00am EDT (Detroit time)
  • Attend 1-hour seminar on your computer, 'live' via Internet
  • A 40-minute presentation is followed by a 20-minute online, interactive 'Q&A' session
  • Cost: $59 per person - $99 for two persons attending - $129 for three persons attending
  • Attend this Online Seminar + any 4 other upcoming Online Seminars for only $179. (5 total for $179)
  • To register, click on Register Now! link at bottom of this page.

Topics to be covered:
Taken collectively, it is clear these trends signal a shift in the global center of gravity towards the east. The dramatic shifts that have occurred over the past year in the structure and brand portfolios of the vehicle manufacturers are simply the early stages of a process of asset reallocation and global realignment that will unfold over many years. These trends are reshaping the brands, products and global footprint of those who hope to prosper in the 21st century automotive industry. Indeed, China has taken center stage in the battle for global auto industry dominance.

1. Policy-driven Consolidation of Chinese Vehicle Manufacturers

2. Global Redistribution of Assets by Non-Chinese Companies to Capture China Market Growth

3. Acquisition of Foreign Assets and Key Development Competencies by Chinese Companies

4. China's Investment in New Energy Vehicles and Related Infrastructure

5. Utilization of China's Automotive Capacities for Global Expansion

6. Hyper-Competition Across the China Automotive Market Segments

7. China Vehicle Manufacturer's Push to Build Brand Equity

8. China's Rapidly Changing Demographics and Growing Demand in Lower Tier Cities

Our Guest Speakers / Presenters
The Online Seminar guest presenter is Bill Russo (see Speaker's Bio below).

Who Should Attend
This Online Seminar is for foreign-based companies doing business in or with China.

Event Info
September 29, 2010
10:00 am to 11:00 am - Detroit time
16.00 hrs. to 17.00 hrs. - Brussels time
22.00 hrs. to 23.00 hrs. - Shanghai time
Your price: $59 per person.
Special Offer: Multiple Attendee Offer
Your price: $99 for 2 attendees
Your price: $129 for 3 attendees
Your price: $155 for 4 attendees
Your price: $179 for 5 attendees.

Attend any 5 Online Seminars for $179!

Please note:
Please note that all events are for automotive suppliers and OEMs only. Select Global Expert guests may also attend at our discretion. If you have any questions whether you or your company is eligible, pleasecontact us.